It’s one small step towards the Trump administration’s stated goal of breaking the country’s dependence on Chinese supplies of critical minerals.
But the direct involvement of the Pentagon underlines the scale of the task associated with creating from scratch a non-Chinese rare earths supply chain.
The United States was almost totally dependent on imports of rare earth compounds and metals last year, just as it was the year before and the year before that. China remained the largest supplier to the tune of around 80% of all imports, according to the United States Geological Survey (USGS).
That reliance on China for minerals with critical uses across a wide spectrum of civilian and military applications is becoming ever more problematic as Sino-U.S. relations deteriorate.
However, to break it, as the United States is finding out, requires a mix of direct government support, alliances with like-minded countries, and a long-term focus on the six-stage process chain from ore to rare earth magnet.
LINKING THE CHAIN
The United States now produces rare earths at the reopened Mountain Pass mine in California, bought out of bankruptcy in 2017 by MP Materials, an investment vehicle backed by U.S. funds JHL Capital Group and QVT Financial.
However, China’s control of global processing capacity is almost total, with the exception of Australia’s Lynas Corp which operates a separation plant in Malaysia.
What’s currently mined at Mountain Pass gets shipped to China to be upgraded into compounds and products which are then shipped back to the United States.
MP Materials is one of the three companies chosen to receive direct government funding for a separation plant, albeit only after a review into its Chinese shareholder, Shenghe Resources.
Lynas, meanwhile, is teaming up with Texas-based Blue Line on a heavy rare earths separation plant.
The problem, though, is that the oxide generated at both separation plants may still have to go to China for further processing.
As the United States pursues China up the rare earths value chain, it is finding that each segment poses its own problem all the way through to finished product.
The country currently has virtually no capacity to produce neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB) magnets, the most common end-use application for rare earths and one that is set for exponential growth as the global automotive industry migrates to electric vehicles.
“So where do we expand? In the U.S. and Europe? But there is very little magnet manufacturing there. So if we make more oxides, the only customer is China,” Le Roux said.
THE MARKET IS NOT ENOUGH
To build the full mine-to-magnet chain will need customer and government support, according to Le Roux.
Market forces were why Mountain Pass closed and the United States exited the rare earths business.
Market forces actively work against the reconstruction of that domestic capacity, with car companies incentivised to choose lower-priced Chinese magnets over higher-priced, start-up Western rivals.
Lynas’ own Mt Weld project in Australia only made it thanks to the support of the Japanese government, which extended loans and lowered interest rates during the difficult start-up phase, Le Roux said.
The key takeaway is that the Japanese “have a different approach to the supply chain – they put a higher value on the stability of supply,” Le Roux added.
The U.S. is playing catch-up and the Department of Defense’s mandate to directly invest in separation capacity is a recognition of the nurturing role government will have to play.
The United States is also learning that it’s going to need allies if it is to regain some control of the rare earths sector.
“I think it is clear at this stage that if you really want to build a rare earth supply chain outside China, there will have to be cooperation between countries,” said Ian Higgins, managing director of UK neodymium producer Less Common Metals, also talking to Argus.
Lynas’ involvement in the Texas project brings together a rare earths compound maker with the only company outside China to have experience with commercial-level separation of rare earth concentrates.
The United States has been busy building potential alliances with both Australia and Canada across a range of critical minerals.
It’s pretty clear that if it is it going to fill its domestic magnet-making void it will need Japanese help.
Not only is Hitachi the only non-Chinese player of size, but Japan is further along the path of cutting rare earth links with China having found itself at the hard end of a Chinese export ban a decade ago.
Japan’s shepherding of Lynas through its early start-up problems was born out of that supply shock.
It’s taken a decade for Japan to loosen China’s grip on its rare earths supplies and the United States also faces a long haul.
“Multi-billion dollar supply chains do not move overnight (but) the supply chain transition has to happen, and it will over time,” said James Litinsky, co-chairman of MP Materials, who also gave an interview to Argus for its white paper.
The Department of Defense’s funding for MP Materials and Lynas/Blue Line is an important step on that road, but it’s set to be a very long road.
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